Est. 2023 · Head-to-Head Points
Model output, not a fact: P(playoffs) = 25% + 150% × the club's share of total league roster value — a transparent, deliberately simple model printed so anyone can recompute it. With one week played it leans on roster value alone; strength of schedule joins the model only when a schedule exists in the pulled data (it does not yet — Week 2 is in progress). Treat the column as the desk's opening line, nothing more.
| Club | Roster value | Week 1 pts | P(playoffs), model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Team O'Connor | 7,284.90 | 1,427.5 | 41.2% |
| .... Rice and Beans | 7,184.36 | 1,326.0 | 41.0% |
| Team Ruah | 7,098.02 | 1,466.0 | 40.8% |
| Christ The King | 6,959.95 | 1,261.0 | 40.5% |
| Glizzy Gobblers | 6,872.34 | 1,398.0 | 40.3% |
| The REAL Tribal Chief | 6,749.04 | 1,383.5 | 40.0% |
| 3Zilla Squad | 6,619.78 | 1,537.0 | 39.7% |
| BOOM! Shockalotta | 6,486.42 | 1,477.5 | 39.4% |
| CKING | 6,481.17 | 1,191.5 | 39.4% |
| Team Pup n' Suds | 5,706.64 | 1,426.0 | 37.7% |
The tracker needs live box scores during games; the site's data is pull-based, so the tracker ships as a framework: during a live week it would chart each matchup's win probability from remaining players and minutes. It prints no probability it cannot compute — the Week 2 board on the homepage is the live state of record.
Next draft: the 2027–28 startup redraft — model order and the full mock are on the Draft Night page.